Filed under africa-ai.

The Kilometre Between the Certificate and the Payroll

Nigeria's 3MTT reports a 99.6 per cent completion rate across 135,000 fellows — a figure measuring whether they finished an assessment, not whether they hold jobs that use the training. The IMF's baseline scenario projects a 0.2 per cent productivity lift for sub-Saharan Africa over the coming decade under current conditions. Until programmes publish cohort-level employment outcomes at six and twelve months, the headline numbers describe ambition, not labour markets.